Pain in my head when I cough
Experiencing head pain when you cough is a condition known as a cough headache. It can have several possible causes, ranging from benign (not harmful) to more serious conditions. Here's a breakdown: Pain in my head when I cough1. Primary Cough HeadacheWhat it is: Benign and not linked to any underlying disease.Symptoms:Sudden, sharp pain in the head triggered by…See More
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Resources: I look at the Ocean Prediction Center Atlantic Surface Analysis and the 24, 48, and 96 hour Surface Forecasts. Then I go back to the 500 mb analysis and forecasts for the same periods and try to understand how the forecasters came up with their forecasts. I'm starting to see varying degrees of conservatism in the various forecasters (their names are on the synoptic charts) and adjust for that based on my own personal judgment.
Unfortunately OPC doesn't show much below 17N and sometimes cuts off at 20N. There is a Surface Analysis for the tropics but the resolution isn't great. It does help me be aware of some big L or H skirting the ITCZ.
Then I do my forecast for what I expect to see. Once I have my forecast I look at what The National Hurricane Center Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch says in their text forecast and what Chris Parker says at caribwx.com. Sometimes I listen to Herb Hilgenberg (Southbound II) on the SSB in the afternoon if I have the time and propagation is good. Where the professionals differ from my forecast I go back and try to see if they are considering something I missed and finalize my forecast. When mine differs from theirs sometimes mine is right and theirs is wrong, sometimes mine is wrong and theirs is right, and sometimes we are both wrong.
When I'm at sea I look at the gribs over e-mail in addition to all the OPC and NHC products over weather fax.
I still have a way to go before I'm ready to give up the crutch of sneaking a peek at the professionals work.
Other than radar and imagery (which I don't get much out of for forecasting) I stick with the Government products for raw data. Herb and Chris do their own work, but most of the on-line services are just repackaging the Government stuff.